Today's odds


With two sleeps to go until polling day, the betting markets suggest that Latham’s still just a 23% chance. In other words, if we held the 2004 election four times, Latham would win it once, and Howard would win it three times.

Coalition 77%, Labor 23%.

Launched in 2004, New Matilda is one of Australia's oldest online independent publications. It's focus is on investigative journalism and analysis, with occasional smart arsery thrown in for reasons of sanity. New Matilda is owned and edited by Walkley Award and Human Rights Award winning journalist Chris Graham.