On Saturday, the major players were at Coalition 69.3%, Labor 30.7%. By contrast, two of the three major pollsters (Newspoll & AC Nielsen) had the race within the statistical margin of error, while the third (Morgan) had Labor ahead.
Yesterday, Labor hit the lowest numerical point in the campaign so far, with the Coalition 72.1%, Labor 27.9%.
Today, again it’s still Coalition 72.1%, Labor 27.9%. And Pauline Hanson is back up to 26%.
For more about the theory of betting markets, and an Excel file showing the betting odds throughout the campaign, see www.andrewleigh.com.
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